ST vs HH Match Analysis

 

The 21st match of the Big Bash League 2025-26 brings Sydney Thunder and Hobart Hurricanes to Sydney Showground Stadium, a venue known for testing patience and technique. With the league phase tightening, this afternoon fixture carries significance for momentum rather than comfort.

 

Sydney Thunder arrive under pressure after an uneven run marked by inconsistency and a heavy defeat in their previous outing. The loss against Perth Scorchers, where they were bundled out for 131 chasing 203, exposed familiar batting fragility. Despite that, the presence of experienced leadership and a bowling unit suited to tricky surfaces keeps Thunder competitive.

 

Hobart Hurricanes, while also coming off a loss, have shown far more stability across recent matches. Three wins in their last five indicate a side that understands its roles well. Even in defeat against Perth, their batting showed intent, and structurally, Hurricanes look more settled heading into this contest.

 

Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes Match Details

 

Match

Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes | 21st Match | Big Bash League 2025-26

Date

03/01/2026 (Saturday)

Time

BDT 2:15 PM / PKT 1:15 PM / INR 1:45 PM

Format

T20

Venue

Sydney Showground Stadium

Recent performance

Sydney Thunder – L L W L L
Hobart Hurricanes – L W W W L

Live Streaming Details

Click here to watch the Live Stream on Sports Live Hub (SLH)

 

Sydney Showground Stadium Pitch Report

 

BBL 2025-26: Match 21, ST vs HH Match Prediction – Who will win today’s BBL Prediction between Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes? Sydney Showground Stadium

 

The Sydney Showground Stadium pitch remains one of the most bowler-friendly surfaces in the Big Bash League. Its spongy bounce, slower pace, and grip off the surface make stroke-making difficult, particularly early in the innings. Teams often struggle to maintain momentum, and totals here tend to reflect accumulation rather than explosive hitting.

 

Weather Report

 

Weather conditions are expected to be mostly sunny to partly cloudy with mild temperatures. There is no significant threat of rain, and dew is unlikely to play a decisive role in a daytime fixture. These neutral conditions mean the pitch itself, rather than the atmosphere, will dictate tactical decisions.

 

ST vs HH Head-to-Head Records

 

Matches Played

24

ST Won

8

HH Won

15

Tied

0

No Result

1

First-ever Fixture

January 1, 2012

Most-recent Fixture

December 16, 2025

 

Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes Team Preview & Squads

 

Sydney Thunder

 

David Warner’s captaincy brings clarity and intent, even when results do not immediately follow. His leadership is particularly valuable on slower surfaces where reading conditions and managing resources become critical. Warner’s presence also shields a middle order that has shown vulnerability under sustained pressure.

 

The Thunder batting revolves heavily around Matthew Gilkes, whose ability to score briskly without excessive risk makes him vital at this venue. However, the supporting cast has struggled for consistency, as seen in their collapse against Perth. Sydney Thunder need controlled aggression rather than ambitious stroke-play to post competitive totals here.

 

Bowling remains Thunder’s stronger suit. Daniel Sams offers wicket-taking threat with the new ball and control at the death, while Chris Green’s all-round value is amplified on gripping surfaces. With additional pace options and spin depth, Thunder possess the tools to restrict opponents, provided the batting gives them something to defend.

 

Sydney Thunder Squad

 

BBL 2025-26: Match 21, ST vs HH Match Prediction – Who will win today’s BBL Prediction between Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes? Sydney Thunder Squad

 

David Warner, Wes Agar, Charlie Anderson, Tom Andrews, Cameron Bancroft, Sam Billings, Pat Cummins, Oliver Davies, Lockie Ferguson, Matthew Gilkes, Chris Green, Ryan Hadley, Sam Konstas, Nic Maddinson, Nathan McAndrew, Blake Nikitaras, Aidan O’Connor, Daniel Sams, Tanveer Sangha, Shadab Khan, Reece Topley

 

Hobart Hurricanes

 

Nathan Ellis leads Hobart Hurricanes with composure and tactical discipline. His calm decision-making and personal impact with the ball provide Hurricanes with balance, particularly in tight contests. Ellis thrives in conditions that reward accuracy rather than raw pace, making him well-suited to this venue.

 

Hurricanes’ batting structure appears more settled. Tim Ward’s role at the top allows for measured starts, while Nikhil Chaudhary offers adaptability through the middle overs. The group may lack flamboyance, but it compensates with clarity of roles and the ability to rotate strike on slower pitches.

 

Bowling is Hurricanes’ strongest asset. Ellis spearheads a disciplined attack supported by multiple seam options and all-round contributors like Mitchell Owen. Their ability to apply sustained pressure, rather than chase wickets recklessly, gives Hurricanes a structural edge in low-scoring environments.

 

Hobart Hurricanes Squad

 

BBL 2025-26: Match 21, ST vs HH Match Prediction – Who will win today’s BBL Prediction between Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes? Hobart Hurricanes Squad

 

Nathan Ellis, Marcus Bean, Jackson Bird, Hugo Burdon, Iain Carlisle, Nikhil Chaudhary, Chris Jordan, Ben McDermott, Riley Meredith, Mitchell Owen, Will Prestwidge, Rehan Ahmed, Rishad Hossain, Billy Stanlake, Matthew Wade, Tim Ward, Jake Weatherald, Beau Webster, Macalister Wright

 

ST vs HH Prediction

 

Event

Sydney Thunder

Hobart Hurricanes

Toss Winner

Hobart Hurricanes

Player of the Match

Tim Ward

Top Run Scorer

Matthew Gilkes

Tim Ward

Top Wicket Taker

Daniel Sams

Nathan Ellis

Most Sixes

Matthew Gilkes

Tim Ward

Predicted Score

170+

200+

Win Probability

43%

57%

 

According to cricket analysts Hobart Hurricanes have a 57% chance of Winning.

 

Disclaimer: This cricket prediction reflects the author’s personal insights and analysis. We encourage readers to review the points shared and draw their own conclusions.

 

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