Nepal head into this Asian Games Men’s Cricket Competition quarter-final as narrow favourites, with our match prediction giving NEP a 47% win probability against Sri Lanka’s 53%. Sri Lanka edge it on paper thanks to Dushan Hemantha’s in-form bat, but Nepal’s momentum from four wins in five outings and home comfort at Nisshin make this NEP vs SL prediction a genuinely tight one. This preview covers the pitch, weather, head-to-head record, playing XI options and fantasy cricket tips ahead of the 3rd Quarter-Final in Nisshin.
NEP vs SL Match Details
Match | Nepal vs Sri Lanka | 3rd Quarter-Final | Asian Games Men’s Cricket Competition |
Date | 29/09/2026 (Tuesday) |
Time | BDT 6:00 AM / PKT 5:00 AM / INR 5:30 AM |
Format | T20 |
Venue | Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin |
Recent performance | Nepal – W W W W L, Sri Lanka – W L L L L |
NEP vs SL Asian Games 2026: Live Streaming & Broadcast Info
Coverage of this Asian Games quarter-final varies by region, with most territories carrying it through Sony Sports Network and its digital platforms.
- Pakistan: Sony Sports Network, Sony LIV
- India: Sony Sports Network (Sony Sports 1, Sony Sports 3/5), DD Bharati (Free Dish), Sony LIV
- USA & Canada: Willow TV (via Sling TV / Prime Video Willow Add-on)
- Bangladesh: Sony Sports Network, Sony LIV
- Sri Lanka: Sony Sports Network, Sony LIV
- Nepal: DGO App, Sony Sports Network, Sony LIV
- Worldwide: Matches available via Sports Live Hub for global streaming access across regions.
- Broadcast details may vary by region.
Nepal vs Sri Lanka Toss Prediction
Nepal are tipped to win the toss and bat first at Korogi Sports Park. With dew expected to creep in under lights later in the innings, setting a target protects Nepal’s spin-heavy bowling attack from wet-ball trouble and lets them defend on a surface that should slow up as the game progresses.
Korogi Sports Park Pitch Report
Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin
Korogi Sports Park in Nisshin has generally offered a two-paced surface where stroke play gets harder as the ball grows old. Totals in the 150-170 range have proven competitive in this Asian Games Men’s Cricket Competition, and spinners who bowl straight lines tend to be rewarded in the middle overs, while the new ball offers a little seam movement upfront.
Weather Report
Conditions at the early-morning start should be mild and stable, with no major rain threat expected. Dew is likely to become a factor as the match progresses into the evening portion of the innings, which is part of why chasing is considered the tougher option and why Nepal’s toss call would lean towards batting first.
NEP vs SL Head-to-Head Records
Matches Played | 1 |
Nepal Won | 0 |
Sri Lanka Won | 0 |
Tied | 0 |
No Result | 1 |
First-ever Fixture | June 11, 2024 |
Most-recent Fixture | June 11, 2024 |
Nepal vs Sri Lanka Team Preview & Squads
Nepal
Dipendra Singh Airee’s captaincy has been the standout feature of Nepal’s campaign, and his own all-round form gives him the license to make bold calls at the toss and with ball-in-hand at the death. His presence at the top of the batting order also stiffens a middle order that leans heavily on composure under pressure.
Nepal’s batting structure is built around control rather than fireworks, with Sundeep Jora tasked with anchoring the innings and Rohit Paudel and Kushal Malla expected to accelerate through the middle overs. It is a lineup that has found a way to win close matches, as shown in their five-wicket chase against Afghanistan in their last outing.
With the ball, Kushal Bhurtel leads an attack that also features the experienced Sandeep Lamichhane, giving Nepal genuine wicket-taking spin options in the middle overs. Sompal Kami and Karan KC add seam-bowling variety, rounding out a balanced playing XI on paper.
Nepal Squad:
Nepal
Dipendra Singh Airee, Aarif Sheikh, Aasif Sheikh, Kushal Bhurtel, Gulsan Jha, Sundeep Jora, Karan KC, Kushal Malla, Sandeep Lamichhane, Lokesh Bam, Sher Malla, Rohit Paudel, Lalit Rajbanshi, Sompal Kami, Nandan Yadav
Sri Lanka
Sahan Arachchige’s leadership will be tested after a difficult recent run, and how he manages a side coming off a heavy defeat to England says a lot about this Sri Lanka vs Nepal quarter-final. Getting his best combination right at the toss could be pivotal.
The batting structure hinges on Dushan Hemantha, tipped as our predicted Player of the Match and top run-scorer, with support needed from Niroshan Dickwella and Ashen Bandara to build a total capable of testing Nepal’s chase.
Sri Lanka’s bowling and all-round balance features Tharindu Ratnayake as the frontline wicket-taker, while Wanuja Sahan and Chamika Karunaratne offer control at both ends. Binura Fernando’s pace at the death is expected to be a key factor in restricting Nepal’s finishers.
Sri Lanka Squad:
Sri Lanka
Sahan Arachchige, Ashen Bandara, Lasith Croospulle, Niroshan Dickwella, Binura Fernando, Nuwanidu Fernando, Dushan Hemantha, Chamika Karunaratne, Sohan de Livera, Tharindu Ratnayake, Wanuja Sahan, Garuka Sanketh, Sineth Jayawardena, Nuwan Thushara, Vijayakanth Viyaskanth
NEP vs SL Prediction
Event | Nepal | Sri Lanka |
Toss Winner | Nepal | – |
Player of the Match | – | Dushan Hemantha |
Top Run Scorer | Rohit Paudel | Dushan Hemantha |
Top Wicket Taker | Kushal Bhurtel | Binura Fernando |
Most Sixes | Rohit Paudel | Dushan Hemantha |
Predicted Score | 170+ | 180+ |
Win Probability | 47% | 53% |
Nepal vs Sri Lanka Winning Prediction
Sri Lanka edge this contest at 53% to Nepal’s 47% in our final call, with Dushan Hemantha’s form the tilting factor behind their marginally higher win probability. It is close enough that a strong start from Nepal’s top order or an early breakthrough with the ball could flip the result either way. Who do you think takes the quarter-final spot on offer here? Follow JeetBuzz for more match predictions, stats and analysis as the Asian Games progresses.
FAQ: Asian Games Men’s Cricket 2026 3rd Quarter-Final
Q1. What time does the Nepal vs Sri Lanka quarter-final start in India?
- The match starts at 5:30 AM IST at Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.
Q2. Where can I watch the Nepal vs Sri Lanka match live?
- It can be streamed via Sports Live Hub worldwide.
Q3. Who is the key player to watch in this match?
- Dushan Hemantha is the key player to watch, with our prediction tipping him for Player of the Match.