AS vs MR Match Analysis
The 38th match of the Big Bash League 2025–26 brings Adelaide Strikers and Melbourne Renegades to the iconic Adelaide Oval, a venue synonymous with run-making and momentum swings. With both teams searching for late-tournament consistency, this afternoon fixture carries significant implications for ladder positioning.
Adelaide Strikers arrive under pressure after a difficult outing against Melbourne Stars in their previous match, where they were bowled out for just 83. That collapse exposed fragility in their batting order, despite the presence of experience and depth. However, captained by Matthew Short and backed by power hitters like Chris Lynn, the Strikers remain dangerous in home conditions.
Melbourne Renegades, meanwhile, are coming off a heavy 50-run defeat to Perth Scorchers, conceding 219 and falling well short in reply. Despite recent struggles, the Renegades possess match-winners such as Jake Fraser-McGurk and Tim Seifert, and their bowling unit, led by Sam Elliott and supported by seasoned campaigners, offers the kind of wicket-taking threat required on a high-scoring surface.
Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Match Details
Match | Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades | 38th Match | Big Bash League 2025-26 |
Date | 17/01/2026 (Saturday) |
Time | BDT 12:00 PM / PKT 11:00 AM / INR 11:30 AM |
Format | T20 |
Venue | Adelaide Oval |
Recent performance | Adelaide Strikers – L W L L L |
Melbourne Renegades – W W L L L | |
Live Streaming Details | Click here to watch the Live Stream on Sports Live Hub (SLH) |
Adelaide Oval Pitch Report
Adelaide Oval
Historically one of Australia’s most batting-friendly venues, Adelaide Oval continues to reward stroke-makers with true bounce and fast outfields. While early movement can assist seamers briefly, the surface generally flattens out, encouraging aggressive powerplay scoring and clean hitting through the middle overs. Par totals often exceed 180, making intent with the bat essential.
Weather Report
Conditions are expected to be largely favorable for cricket, with daytime temperatures ranging between 23°C and 25°C before cooling into the mid-teens. With only a 3–10% chance of rain and moderate humidity, interruptions are unlikely. The dew factor is minimal, meaning bowlers should retain grip under lights. Moderate south-easterly winds may assist swing bowlers marginally.
AS vs MR Head-to-Head Records
Matches Played | 20 |
GG Won | 12 |
ADKR Won | 8 |
Tied | 0 |
No Result | 0 |
First-ever Fixture | December 18, 2011 |
Most-recent Fixture | January 2, 2025 |
Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades Team Preview & Squads
Adelaide Strikers
Matthew Short’s leadership will be central to how Adelaide reset after their collapse against Melbourne Stars. As captain, Short provides flexibility at the top and tactical clarity in the field. His ability to influence tempo early in the innings becomes even more critical on a surface that rewards assertive batting.
The batting framework leans heavily on the experience of Chris Lynn, supported by Alex Carey, Mackenzie Harvey, and Alex Ross. While the depth is present, the Strikers’ last match exposed their susceptibility to disciplined new-ball bowling. At Adelaide Oval, they must avoid conservatism and trust their power game, particularly in the first six overs, to avoid being dictated to.
With the ball, Hasan Ali remains the strike option, capable of breaking partnerships and unsettling batters with pace and movement. Jamie Overton and Henry Thornton add seam depth, while spin options such as Tabraiz Shamsi and Cameron Boyce offer control through the middle overs. Liam Scott’s all-round value provides tactical flexibility, but the Strikers’ bowling will need sharper execution on a pitch where containment alone is insufficient.
Adelaide Strikers Squads
Adelaide Strikers Squads
Matthew Short, Cameron Boyce, Jordan Buckingham, Alex Carey, Mackenzie Harvey, Hasan Ali, Thomas Kelly, Chris Lynn, Harry Nielsen, Jamie Overton, Lloyd Pope, Alex Ross, Jason Sangha, Liam Scott, Tabraiz Shamsi, Tom Straker, Henry Thornton, Jerrssis Wadia, Luke Wood
Melbourne Renegades
Will Sutherland leads a Renegades unit that has oscillated between explosive and erratic. His influence as captain and all-rounder is pivotal, offering balance in both innings. Following their loss to Perth Scorchers, the emphasis will be on tightening execution rather than wholesale tactical changes.
Batting depth is the Renegades’ defining strength. Jake Fraser-McGurk brings aggressive intent at the top, while Mohammad Rizwan and Tim Seifert add composure and experience through the middle order. Despite posting only 169 in their previous match, this lineup is structurally suited to high-scoring venues, provided they convert starts into sustained momentum.
In the bowling department, Sam Elliott leads the attack, complemented by a varied supporting cast including Andrew Tye, Jason Behrendorff, Adam Zampa, and Nathan Lyon. This blend of pace and spin allows tactical match-ups across phases, though discipline at the death remains a concern. If the Renegades can strike early and limit boundary flow, their attack has enough variety to challenge Adelaide’s power hitters.
Melbourne Renegades Squads
Melbourne Renegades Squads
Will Sutherland, Jason Behrendorff, Josh Brown, Harry Dixon, Brendan Doggett, Sam Elliott, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Hassan Khan, Caleb Jewell, Nathan Lyon, Mohammad Rizwan, Fergus O’Neill, Oliver Peake, Tom Rogers, William Salzmann, Gurinder Sandhu, Tim Seifert, Matthew Spoors, Callum Stow, Andrew Tye, Adam Zampa
AS vs MR Prediction
Event | Adelaide Strikers | Melbourne Renegades |
Toss Winner | Adelaide Strikers | – |
Player of the Match | – | Tim Seifert |
Top Run Scorer | Liam Scott | Tim Seifert |
Top Wicket Taker | Jamie Overton | Sam Elliott |
Most Sixes | Chris Lynn | Tim Seifert |
Predicted Score | 180+ | 190+ |
Win Probability | 47% | 53% |
According to cricket analysts Melbourne Renegades have a 53% chance of Winning.
Disclaimer: This cricket prediction reflects the author’s personal insights and analysis. We encourage readers to review the points shared and draw their own conclusions.
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